Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.205636 0.232180 0.260289 0.292216 0.327415 0.364977 0.408030
2025-07-20 0.174429 0.210953 0.251853 0.300843 0.357714 0.421430 0.497985
2025-07-27 0.148916 0.191289 0.241099 0.303530 0.379209 0.467478 0.577674
2025-08-03 0.131332 0.178043 0.235360 0.310102 0.404140 0.517626 0.663924
2025-08-10 0.118245 0.168341 0.232236 0.318539 0.430727 0.570178 0.754966
2025-08-17 0.103704 0.154795 0.222426 0.316871 0.443458 0.605180 0.824968
2025-08-24 0.092169 0.143828 0.214620 0.316561 0.457059 0.641048 0.896819
2025-08-31 0.082253 0.133927 0.207102 0.315559 0.468964 0.674485 0.966163
2025-09-07 0.075920 0.128486 0.205165 0.321783 0.490564 0.721259 1.054629
2025-09-14 0.068787 0.121020 0.199502 0.321945 0.503193 0.755803 1.127270
2025-09-21 0.062595 0.114342 0.194337 0.322209 0.515564 0.790020 1.200236
2025-09-28 0.057080 0.108158 0.189330 0.322147 0.527095 0.823089 1.272332
2025-10-05 0.052759 0.103697 0.186893 0.326187 0.545430 0.867435 1.363442
2025-10-12 0.049786 0.101250 0.187461 0.334881 0.571146 0.923478 1.473487
2025-10-19 0.045939 0.096834 0.184381 0.337394 0.587227 0.965640 1.564444
2025-10-26 0.043238 0.094222 0.184093 0.344343 0.610452 1.019239 1.674059
2025-11-02 0.041118 0.092476 0.185115 0.353429 0.637362 1.079255 1.795131
2025-11-09 0.037519 0.087467 0.179942 0.351532 0.646119 1.111277 1.874285
2025-11-16 0.034491 0.083259 0.175850 0.351153 0.657180 1.147064 1.960111
2025-11-23 0.031654 0.079128 0.171544 0.350036 0.666780 1.180645 2.043273
2025-11-30 0.030046 0.077422 0.171664 0.356820 0.690017 1.236748 2.163444
2025-12-07 0.027797 0.074069 0.168325 0.356991 0.701691 1.274270 2.254898
2025-12-14 0.025757 0.070948 0.165183 0.357275 0.713450 1.312150 2.347823